Pasture growth forecast for Whakatāne

Daily pasture growth rates (grass growth), soil moisture and soil temperature for Whakatāne and surrounding Bay of Plenty farms over the next 7 days, from ECMWF weather forecasts. Free, no sign-up.

This week at Whakatāne: net pasture growth is forecast to average 31 kgDM/ha/day on dairy pasture with medium soil, down 34% on the last 7 days (47). Soils are at 22% of what they can hold and soil temperature is 15.9 °C. Updated Sat, 31 Oct, 12:20 am NZDT.

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Whakatāne, Bay of Plenty

Next 7 days
31kgDM/ha/day
average net growth
Last 7 days
47kgDM/ha/day
estimated
Soil moisture
22%
of what your soil holds
Soil temperature
15.9 °C
today's mean, about 6 cm deep

Last 14 days and the week ahead

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Forecast growth Estimated growth, recorded weather Rain, mm (from the top)

Your week, day by day

Enter your platform to see where average cover lands by the end of the week.

DayMin / max °CRain mmEvaporation mmSoil moistureSoil tempNet growthDemand /haCover at day end

How the forecast works

Every source is listed so you can judge how far to trust the numbers.

Weather from ECMWF

Temperature, rain, sunshine and evaporation for your location from the European Centre's IFS model, the global forecast most national weather services rely on. Delivered by Open-Meteo and refreshed with every model run.

Soil moisture from your recent rain

A daily water balance runs over the last three months of weather at your location, so the forecast starts from how wet or dry your soil actually is.

Driven by the weather

Growth responds to temperature, sunlight and soil moisture, the same drivers as AgResearch's AgPasture model.

Gross growth = maximum growth × pasture × regional factor × temperature × sunlight × soil moisture × spring flush (kgDM/ha/day)
Temperature: no growth below 3 °C, full growth at 14–20 °C, easing above 20 °C
Soil moisture: full growth until the soil falls below 55% of what it can hold
Net growth = gross × 0.82, allowing for leaf that dies before it's grazed

How accurate is it? It's strongest at showing what's coming: rain after a dry spell, a cold snap stalling growth, soils drying out. Peer-reviewed NZ pasture models land within about 15–20% of measured growth over a season. Single days vary more, so plan on the 7-day average and check it against your plate meter or farm walk.

Questions

Is it really free?

Yes. No subscription, no account and no card. The site is supported by advertising.

How often does it update?

The weather forecast refreshes several times a day. Open the page and you get the latest run.

Dairy or sheep & beef?

Farm type sets the pasture options and the feed budget: cows and kgDM per cow for dairy, stock units for sheep & beef.

Net or gross growth?

Gross is everything the pasture grows. Net takes off the leaf that dies before it's grazed, which is closer to what a plate meter picks up.

Why is last week an estimate?

It's the model run on the weather that actually fell at your location. Compare it with your own measurements to see how well it tracks your farm.

Where does soil temperature come from?

It's the forecast model's soil temperature near the surface (about 6 cm), averaged over each day. Ryegrass growth slows sharply once soil drops below about 6 °C.

What doesn't it allow for?

Nitrogen timing, pugging, pests and grazing residuals all change what you'll measure. Adjust for them from your own records.

Other districts

A 7-day grass growth forecast for each farming district in New Zealand. Pick yours, or use your exact farm location above.